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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 227: Cancel the Politics Topic: 250 B8ers will Die
red sox 777 06/25/19 5:38:33 PM #115:	Mr Lasastryke posted... red sox 777 posted... If the polarization of American society has increased since 2016, it's possible that the Democratic nominee can win the popular vote by an even higher margin this time and still lose. Maybe as high as a 4% margin in the popular vote. my point was that according to you, hillary sucked at making her appeal to the american public and trump was good at it. if that's the case, why didn't trump easily win the popular vote? Part of Trump's superiority in making his appeal to the people was knowing which people in which areas to target. Hillary was great at appealing to people in California, and it produced lots of wasted votes for her. If we are going to accept the current geographical dynamics going forward (which I would advise the Democrats to try to change, not to just accept), then Republicans will have a natural advantage. I think the breakeven point in the EC nowadays is something like D+4, in the House it is about D+5 or 6, and in the Senate even higher once the remaining blue dogs retire or are voted out. Given that advantage, Democrats have to be better at appealing to the people to get the same results as Republicans. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:923837957] in Politics C... [t:77811053]...</cite> <quote><cite>Mr Lasastryke posted...</cite> <quote><cite>red sox 777 posted...</cite> <quote>If the polarization of American society has increased since 2016, it's possible that the Democratic nominee can win the popular vote by an even higher margin this time and still lose. Maybe as high as a 4% margin in the popular vote.</quote> my point was that according to you, hillary sucked at making her appeal to the american public and trump was good at it. if that's the case, why didn't trump easily win the popular vote?</quote> Part of Trump's superiority in making his appeal to the people was knowing which people in which areas to target. Hillary was great at appealing to people in California, and it produced lots of wasted votes for her. If we are going to accept the current geographical dynamics going forward (which I would advise the Democrats to try to change, not to just accept), then Republicans will have a natural advantage. I think the breakeven point in the EC nowadays is something like D+4, in the House it is about D+5 or 6, and in the Senate even higher once the remaining blue dogs retire or are voted out. Given that advantage, Democrats have to be better at appealing to the people to get the same results as Republicans. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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