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| Topic | How is Trump's Approval rating still at 45%? |
| OhhhJa 01/07/19 10:11:58 PM #51: | darkknight109 posted... Yeah, good point. I mean, if you ignore the turnout (2018 was the highest voter turnout for a midterm ever in the era of universal suffrage, whereas 2010 was one of the lowest), the difference in popularity (even at his lowest point, Obama was never as unpopular as Trump), and the difference in their electoral margins (Trump got in by the skin of his teeth, winning by just ~90k votes across three states and losing the popular vote in the process), it almost looks like the two situations are similar, even though they aren't. You're both fighting over what amounts to something that's relatively unpredictable with tiny sample sizes for all variables. I know you pride yourself with your statistics knowledge so you should admit that even *gasp* you could be wrong and trump could be reelected. After all, the polls last time suggested he had virtually no chance and we saw how that worked out. I put about as much stock in presidential approval ratings as I do those polls. Also, in reference to him winning by the skin of his teeth, Bush lost the popular vote in 2000 to al gore and still got elected again in 2004 ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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