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TopicSo I made a mock Game of the 90s bracket.
MetalmindStats
12/26/18 3:22:56 AM
#52:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
The other was keeping Ocarina away from the likes of FF7, Chrono Trigger, and Pokemon until the finals. Those are the only three games I can see pulling the big upset, but I really think they have a better shot in the context of the contest finals with everything at stake, as opposed to bonus. I'm not really fond of taking games out of the bracket, especially CT which hasn't won a contest, and we always see those late rounds looking a little weird, so I'd rather use the second half of the bracket to crown a decisive number 2 game, and hope it can give Ocarina a close match in the finals.

To me, this was a really good choice. Quite simply, CT looked definitely ahead of Ocarina in their respective first three rounds of 2015, enough so that a finals match between the two would have at least been quite close. Personally, I think CT's moved in the wrong direction in comparison to Ocarina since then, but that only puts Ocarina as a slight favorite for me. And even if you think CT deserves to be an underdog against FF7, your bracketmaking approaches ideal circumstances for the winner of the bottom half to shine against Ocarina.

As for Mario RPG vs. Super Metroid, I still don't think that would be all that close. You say that the two games looked similar in 2015, but comparing bandwagon-less Mario RPG to Super Metroid, you get 55% on Oblivion vs. 49% on Majora's Mask. That makes me quite skeptical, but I suppose it would be difficult to devise a more interesting matchup for Super Metroid - maybe Mario 3, but even then, I'm not confident Super Metroid would be able to stand up to it.

Also, I disagree with Haste's notion that a 90s bracket should be made to ensure that something non-Squintendo reaches the semi-finals, considering how much weaker the main contenders are versus the Squintendo top 10. (Plus, Mega Man X is quasi-Nintendo anyways). One division is fine to me, but two whole divisions devoted to that end would be a big drag on the bracket. 2015 was different because it at least had a healthy amount of major non-Squintendo contenders on paper (Oblivion, RE4, MGS, MGS3, several other games to a lesser extent), whereas a 90s bracket would only have MMX, SotN, MGS, and maybe Sonic 2 / S3&K (though the former looked pedestrian in 2015).
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You proved yourself more statistically metal-minded than I ever have been - well done!
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