LogFAQs > #913483430

transiences Analysis

I've seen this one too many times to have any kind of hope for Samus. It doesn't matter what performances happen leading up to it -- Mario's going to drop a big number on her. Samus has the numbers edge walking into this match but I don't think the Tifa/Sephiroth match is anything close to an honest match. I'd still take Sephiroth over, say, Luigi or X. Because of that, I think Mario is legit stronger *and* has the hierarchy advantage over Samus.

The only thing that makes me pause is that Super Metroid vs. Majora match last contest, where Metroid actually almost upended our game of the decade. That's a big deal on a site that used to vote big for Samus but didn't actually like her games that much. Super Metroid and Metroid Prime grow each year as legit powerhouse Nintendo properties. Maybe she can hold up somehow vs. Mario? I mean, absolutely no. But let's see where it goes when she starts running through the losers bracket.

transience's prediction: Mario with 60.45%

Leonharts Analysis

Do we really have to have this match again? Ugh, I guess we do, and we might have it twice, to boot. Im at the point where Im just rooting for Samus to beat Mario just so we can stop having arguments over a match that happened 13 years ago, and I dont even like Samus that much. Unfortunately, that probably wont happen, but I think shell probably keep it closer than she did in 2005.

Leonharts Vote: Samus Aran

Leonharts Prediction: Mario with 54.67%

Kleenexs Analysis

Samus has everything going for her here. Better first round performance than Mario through Sephiroth and Tifa. Upcoming new game hype. Good picture (?). Higher seeding. The only downside is the fact that she can actually never beat Mario so none of the matters. Will people finally get retribution for 2005? No. No they wont.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mario with 58%

Guests Analysis - MetalmindStats

Even on GameFAQs, its not 2005 anymore. Just as the logic that Samus supporters used 13 years ago was proven wrong, so too will the logic that says Mario will surely demolish Samus because he managed it back in 2005 be mooted. Do you want to know why, my dear reader?

Its because Samus has frankly looked stronger than Mario to date. Her percentage on Tifa was almost identical to Marios result on Sephiroth, and weve now seen Tifa comfortably beat Sephiroth straight up. On top of that, theres reason to expect Tifa to have fared even better against Samus than she would have against a neutral character of similar strength, given the past two times these two faced (not to mention every time Tifa faces another female character). Granted, it is possible (even though Im less and less convinced of it as time goes on) that Tifa could have pulled off some weird hierarchy reversal to beat Sephiroth. A combination of that and the arguably skewed match picture is why I merely portend that Samus has looked stronger, rather than outright being ahead of Mario indirectly.
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