LogFAQs > #913426116

transiences Analysis

For the majority of the bracketmaking period -- the first one -- I had Crono over Cloud. My thinking going into this contest was that Final Fantasy VII was going to suck in this double vote environment based on how godawful its early vote is every time. Crono was coming off of a super CT run and that game is so far up gamefaqs's alley that Crono could run it up. Also, I took CT to the finals of the last game contest which was probably my best pick ever until SSBM rallying killed it. Man, I'm still sore over that. Only three matches have ever really made me mad, and that's the only one without Mario in it (and he still sorta is. screw you, Mario!)

I don't think the second part of that equation is correct this year. Crono beat Bowser but it wasn't like when CT beat FFX. It wasn't convincing. It was just like always - Crono did well enough and nothing more. You need more than that to beat Cloud. I think Crono is probably closer to Sonic than Snake, Zelda, etc.

But I do think that first part was correct. I'm looking at Snake's result vs. Auron line right up with Squall, Vincent, Tidus, etc. Sephiroth's performance was laugh out loud bad against Tifa, who has been the only one to buck the FF7 trend for whatever reason. Cloud's okay, I guess.. his Alucard performance suggests a clear 55/45 result here vs. Crono. But after watching a same fanbase match where the almighty Sephiroth looks more like Magus, I'm not especially expecting a lot.

That same fanbase thing keeps coming back to me - there are lots of people who know Cloud but not Crono, but not many who play CT without having any familiarity with FF7. Cloud's got that Smash Bros. edge now too. I could see Crono getting the best of Cloud in a year where CT looks great, but I'm not seeing Magus and Frog in that light this year. I think Cloud wins this fairly handily, and if there's any overlap going on here, it probably makes Cloud look really good leading up to his beatdown from Link.

transience's prediction: Cloud with 59.55%

Leonharts Analysis

Heres the first real test of the X-Stats in this double elimination format. Thanks to Bowser and Alucard facing each other after losing to Crono and Cloud, we can project the numbers out to a 55% win here for Cloud. Honestly, that sounds about right to me anyway, even if we didnt have the X-Stats to bolster the argument. I suppose its possible that Cloud SFFs Crono, but Chrono Trigger has generally held up well against Final Fantasy VII in the past (including Vincent/Magus this year), so I dont think thatll happen. What seems more likely to happen is that Crono wins for no discernible reason because the voters seem bent on causing chaos this year (and Im all for it!).

Leonharts Vote: Cloud Strife

Leonharts Prediction: Cloud Strife with 54.99%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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