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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 9
Master Moltar
12/02/18 2:26:59 PM
#115:


transiences Analysis

How strong is Link? I have such a hard time with that question. I look at Zelda and go, holy crap, Link might just be unreal. But Link also has this always wins quality to him that probably stops him from totally killing a lower top 10 dude like Pikachu.

I hadn't really thought about it until after Pikachu beat Mega Man, but Pikachu's really hot right now. There's that movie that I had discounted earlier but the trailer literally has 50 million views. There's also that new game which isn't as good as a real game but Pikachu is the title character on one of the versions. This is a roundabout way of saying that a.) Pikachu maybe won't get killed and b.) I feel like Pikachu will stand up to Link better than other Nintendo or Nintendo-adjacent characters on his level. Samus, Mega Man, obviously Ganondorf or Bowser -- none can stand on their own like the dumb rat can.

transience's prediction: Link with 66.12%

Leonharts Analysis

Link wins. That much is obvious. The question here is how well Pikachu holds up. Pokemons had this reputation for a long time that it doesnt get SFFd, which isnt really true. It might not get SFFd as hard, but weve seen it happen. Pikachu hasnt really been in a position to get SFFd 1-on-1 at all since Fox doubled him in 2003, so this is a chance to see just how far hes come. Plus, as we saw in the rematch with Ganondorf, Link doesnt have the SFF power he used to, so I think the rat holds up okay here.

Leonharts Vote: Link

Leonharts Prediction: Link with 67.15%

Kleenexs Analysis

Links about to dish out some Hyrulean Justice on the rat as punishment for his transgressions last round. The King doesnt take too kindly to outsiders encroaching on His court.

For real though, Pikachu probably ends up holding up pretty well here. You just cant keep a plucky underdog down. He has no chance to win, but I can definitely see him being somewhat immune to Links apparently weakened SFF abilities. Maybe he can avoid a doubling or something, but the rat still gets a one-way ticket to loserville. You come at the King youd best not miss.

Kleenexs Prediction: Link with 66%

Guests Analysis - imthestuntman

I am going to go ahead and predict that pikachu catches a significant rally. He seems to have been building momentum the last few rounds, and given that rallies didnt catch for zelda when she needed them it might mean link isnt going to get one. Might be some backwards logic there so dont examine it too closely. And it seems like link the big bad rallies happen against so maybe?

Does this mean I think pikachu wins? Hell no. He's going to be losing 60-40 before he ever smells a rally. But pokemon is a behemoth these days and it just seems like this could his year. I'm guessing he is something like the 5th best character this year and shatters expectations here.

Prediction - Link wins with 53%.

Crew Consensus: Pikachu obeys the LAW.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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