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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 88888888888888888888888~
Master Moltar
11/26/18 9:29:52 AM
#14:


transiences Analysis

We're back! And it's... Link vs. Ganondorf? Seriously? Maybe Allen actually thought that Ganondorf wouldn't be here because he's largely avoided these kinds of matches the entire bracket, to great success. And that's saying something, because Link/Ganondorf is the worst historical same fanbase beatdown that we've ever seen.

We haven't seen the powerhouses yet this tournament, and Link's a contest entity unto himself at this point, but no one has really been able to blow out fodder this year. Ganondorf is a different case, but I've long felt that the days of 95% performances are far in the past. 88% feels impossible too unless you're a goddamn Destiny character or a former contest winner.

I may be underestimating Link here, but I think there is a faction of voters who just won't vote for him no matter what. Ganondorf has long been a leech to his series but I think he's developed a bigger fanbase since 2004, post-Nintendo boost, post-TP, Brawl. Breath of the Wild, etc. Link will kill him but I don't think this is 85%+.

transience's prediction: Link with 76.66%

Leonharts Analysis

Oh hey, were back. I almost feel like the break was kind of bad because the contest has lost some momentum. It might be bad for the non-Noble Niners who were building up a bandwagon, and theyre at enough of a disadvantage already, nobody more than Ganondorf here. I think the Noble Nine being saved for this part of the contest is going to make them more beastly than they normally would be, but well see soon enough. This match wont tell us much about that.

Im honestly kind of bummed were getting this match because I feel like the chances of Link repeating or exceeding his 2004 are pretty low since he gets anti-voted more now than he did back then. Hes lost some SFF power over the years. This could see Link have a return to form since he didnt win the last Character Battle and hes riding high off of Breath of the Wild now. If he does, everyone else is more boned than they already are because his biggest competition has only continued to fall off over the years. Links gonna win this thing anyway, so might as well hope for the best here and bet on him sapping Ganondorf down to nothing.

Leonharts Vote: Link

Leonharts Prediction: Link with 87.90%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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