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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 7
Master Moltar
11/18/18 12:31:11 PM
#27:


Logically, this match seems awfully similar to Zelda/Squall. Maybe not 63/37, but Luigi should probably be the favourite. Luigi/Tifa was close in 05, Nintendo is much better and Square is a little worse.. but yet, I still feel like this one might go the same way. Bowser faced Kirby in 2005 and got 52%... and faced him this year and got 54% despite Kirby having had a much better time since 05. Luigi could win, but I just feel better with Tifa for some reason.

transience's prediction: Tifa with 50.77%

Leonharts Analysis

Ive got Luigi in my bracket here and felt good about it, even as I was high on Tifa beating Mewtwo and Mega Man X. Ive felt that hes the second strongest Mario character for a while. Mario characters in particular have looked pretty strong this year, too, as were seeing Bowser polish off Kirby and Alucard making Peach retroactively seem very solid. If Luigi really is the second strongest Mario character, he probably should win this based on what weve seen from Square this year.

Yet Tifa (and Vivi, too) has been defying the trends this year. As every other notable Final Fantasy character seems to fall off, Tifa holds strong as a near elite (unless Mewtwo and Mega Man X are even bigger frauds than I thought!). As a comparison point, Im trying to think of who Id favor in a Luigi/Ganondorf match and a Tifa/Vivi match, and I feel more confident in saying Tifa would win her matchup.

The one element that gives me pause here is that Luigi/Frog result. Im not sure how to take it. It could mean that Luigis just not as strong as I thought, or it could mean that Chrono Trigger is just much stronger this year, but theres no way to know right now. I feel like there are fewer question marks about Tifas strength level than Luigis at the moment, but I still think his potential ceiling is higher, so Ill stick with him here (although why I would expect my bracket to be right when Ive gotten a grand total of 1 match correct this round so far is beyond me). Plus, we just saw a Mario character pull off a nonsensical result, so why not another!

Leonharts Vote: Luigi

Leonharts Prediction: Luigi with 50.50%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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