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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew
Master Moltar
10/20/18 4:07:43 PM
#226:


Round 1 Monika vs. Wario

Moltars Analysis

So this match goes one of two ways. Depending on what option you predict will happen, that determines who you have winning here.

1) Wario wins based on his natural strength and the DDLC rally never picks up steam. DDLC is niche, whereas even if casuals dont love Wario, they at least recognize him and give him their vote (and since voting in every match for the day is essentially required, apathy votes definitely help Wario here).

2) The DDLC rally blows up and propels Monika ahead of Wario and she wins.

Ill bet on the former scenario for now, but whatever happens were definitely in for an interesting day, ahaha!

Moltars Bracket: Wario

Moltars Prediction: Wario 60%

transiences Analysis

"Monika? Who's that?"

I remember this exact moment as I was filling out my bracket. I clicked on the little ? and felt a twinge go down my spine. I think I said something out loud like "ohhhhhh crap". I kinda panicked for a second. Why did we do this? And why did we give her such a pathetic path?

I picked Wario after a minute of thought, because I just don't want to engage with trying to predict offsite rallies. DDLC is the closest thing we have to 2018's Undertale, except it's maybe a year too late. It relates to people in much the same way. DDLC still isn't on the level of an Undertale, but a stiff breeze can blow over this contest with such low vote totals (though they're higher than I expected), and a sneeze would knock over a nobody like Wario.

Ulti's been working overtime on the DDLC subreddit and even gotten a link posted on the banner to the contest already. It's been there for days which probably dilutes it a little bit. The DDLC sub isn't huge but it's enough to knock over Wario. I'll go with Wario because, like I said, I don't want to play guess the rally. Prove it to me in round 1 and I'll pick you the rest of the contest. You usually need an easy path to get something going and Monika certainly has that. Now she just needs to not die.

transience's prediction: Wario with 56.68%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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