LogFAQs > #910848864

Round 1 Zero vs. Primrose

Moltars Analysis

Easy stuff here. Zero is a strong contest staple and Primrose is an unknown newcomer. In these types of matches, its always safer to go with the character you know is strong.

Moltars Bracket: Zero

Moltars Prediction: Zero 82%

transiences Analysis

Primrose might be the weakest character in this contest. Zero's going to destroy him/her/whatever I don't feel like looking.

I'd write more but there's a lot more to say in later matches today. Gotta pace myself!

transience's prediction: Zero with 86.44%

Leonharts Analysis

Octopath Traveler has the same sort of problem that Final Fantasy VI does. Its a big ensemble cast, so I doubt you can find any sort of consensus among the fanbase about which character is the best one. It also has a very big problem that FFVI doesnt: Its about 90% less popular. Octopath Traveler has reviewed and sold pretty well so far, but its a bit too recent for the game or its characters to make a dent in the contest quite yet, especially against someone like Zero. I think Primrose might do better than people expect, but its still gonna be a blowout.

Leonharts Vote: Zero

Leonharts Prediction: Zero with 74.50%

Kleenexs Analysis

I actually thought Primrose was like some Touhou character or something before doing this writeup. Now that I click on the picture and see its the character from Octopath Traveller, Im actually somehow how surprised she made the bracket. But whatever! Regardless of her origin, Zero should crush this match. Hes still one of the near-elites and shouldnt have much trouble slicing up most of this division. Im not sure how much GameFAQs cares about Octopath, so the numbers could get pretty ugly.

Kleenexs Prediction: Zero with 79%

Guests Analysis - Luster Soldier

After Chloe Price found herself almost tripled by Lightning, a tripling is also a very real possibility here with Zero being even stronger than Lightning. Zero is established as a high midcarder going up against a character whose game is just barely over 3 months old at this point. Playrate of Primrose's game may hinder her strength with it being Switch exclusive, but the game Octopath Traveler is far more of a GameFAQs type game than Life is Strange which likely means Primrose will be stronger than Chloe Price. Another thing is that the Switch has already surpassed the Wii U's all-time high ownership mark on the site in just 17 months, so Octopath Traveler won't be hindered as much compared to games that were Wii U exclusives.

When you have a character of unknown strength in a match, nailing down a fairly accurate prediction can be difficult. In a contest like the Oracle Challenge, I'm always trying to aim for a prediction within 1% of the final result by looking at the potential range of the winner's percentage and picking a prediction that gives me the best shot of getting within 1%. The potential range of Zero's percentage is a lot wider because of potential blowout percentages (75% or more) and going up against a character of unknown strength.

Luster Soldier's Bracket: Zero

Luster Soldier's Prediction: Zero - 76.63%

Crew Consensus: Zero chance he loses this match
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/