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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew
Master Moltar
10/18/18 2:12:15 AM
#23:


Round 1 Chloe Price vs. Lightning

Moltars Analysis

The last time we saw Lightning, she choked against Donkey Kong with Falco in the same match. It was a pretty embarrassing loss, but if she manages to blow it here, wed have to make a new word for how bad that would look.

Chloe is a newcomer so we dont really know about her contest strength, but from what weve seen of Life is Strange on this site so far, its nothing to write home about. It got rocked by Fallout 3 a few years ago...and thats about it. Ill take a Final Fantasy (which, if you didnt already know, this website kinda loves) protag over a character from a game this site doesnt care about.

Moltars Bracket: Lightning

Moltars Prediction: Lightning 67%

transiences Analysis

You could probably write an algorithm that picks matches based on company, year of release, genre and platform and get most matches correct. Here you've got a low-tier but recognizable and moderately liked Square character from 2010 vs. a niche and mostly liked adventure game character from 2015.

That's kinda all I need to know. This year's gamefaqs population is going to be pretty conservative in picking their faves since the only people left on this website are still fantasizing about the old days when Square and Nintendo were the only things that everyone played. Give them a double vote and I think they double down on these kinds of characters over new niche things. You'd need a rally of some sort to push Chloe up and, well, it ain't 2015.

transience's prediction: Lightning with 65.89%

Leonharts Analysis

Lightning put up perhaps the most embarrassing performance in CBIX by losing handily to Donkey Kong despite another Nintendo character being in the poll. If she loses this one, she might as well never come back. Ive seen some people talking up the upset by saying Life Is Strange has gradually been getting more popular, but eh, Im not seeing it. Its just not this sites type of game, I think. It was getting quadrupled by Fallout 3 in 2015 (which is what it got on inFamous in GOTD, for the record) before Tumblr helped boost its percentage, and I just dont think its made any sort of massive jump in popularity since then. Plus, the game will be more popular than Chloe herself.

Now Im sure people will point out that FFXIII and Lightning arent popular either, but most of the site will at least know who she is, so she can win with default votes and bracket votes. Shell probably get some anti-votes, too, because shes FF and thats just how it goes, so I dont think shell win in a huge blowout or anything. Losing to DK is bad, but shes probably still high fodder and I think thats better than Chloe will manage. Still, the second match of the contest has traditionally been a spot where an upset occurs, so who knows! But if Chloe Price wins a match, that might become my new least favorite thing in contest history (Chloe sucks).

Leonharts Vote: Lightning

Leonharts Prediction: Lightning with 60.58%

Kleenexs Analysis

Finally! The #blessed day has come! Our goddess Lightning finally gets to win a match! After an embarrassing loss to literally Donkey Kong in 2013, it is time for redemption!


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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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