LogFAQs > #910716191

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/17/18 11:00:50 PM #407:	Losers Bracket Match 5 Mega Man vs. Pikachu Rematch! Mega Man wins again. See my previous writeup on this match on this match for details. There's no inherent reason for this to change...well, not one that can be predicted right now, before the contest has even started. -- Losers Bracket Match 6 Cloud vs. Kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Think that's the only poll needed. If Sephiroth can beat Kirby without being endangered, then Cloud will too. The anti-votes will make him look bad but I don't think he'll actually be in trouble. Wouldn't be the first time that Kirby pulled a wacky result out of his ass, though. Result: Cloud - 53% Kirby - 47% Cloud has a 75% chance of winning -- Losers Bracket Match 7 Sonic vs. Squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5228-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-sonic-vs-dracula-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3843-chaos-division-final-sonic-vs-kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3848-gear-division-final-solid-snake-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5247-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-2-squall-vs-amaterasu Squall really wishes that this match had taken place years ago. Even now, he still has a chance to win, but there was a time period back then where Squall was really strong and Sonic was at a low point. Since then, Sonic has been on the rebound while Squall...well, it's hard to say what's happened to Squall, as he didn't get anyone good to measure himself by in 2013 outside of maybe Amaterasu. But we do know what happened to FF8 in the Games Contest, and it definitely looked weaker. That's not to say Squall has necessarily dropped, but it's not the implication he wants in a match where he's already the underdog. Sonic games have continued to be real bad so he might have dropped as well but honestly I get the impression that the fanbase is immune to that by now. Sonic will always be propped up by Genesis nostalgia until the end of time. So yeah. Bank on Squall if you want a decent upset (or are a fanboy) but Sonic is definitely the favorite going into this. Result: Sonic the Hedgehog - 52% Squall Leonhart 48% Sonic has a 65% chance of winning -- Losers Bracket Match 8 Samus vs. Sephiroth https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5264-character-battle-ix-final-nine-samus-vs-red-vs-mega-man https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Samus beat Mega Man worse than Sephiroth beat Kirby. Done. Result: Samus - 57% Sephiroth - 43% Samus has an 80% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910716191] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Losers Bracket Match 5 Mega Man vs. Pikachu Rematch! Mega Man wins again. See my previous writeup on this match on this match for details. There's no inherent reason for this to change...well, not one that can be predicted right now, before the contest has even started. -- Losers Bracket Match 6 Cloud vs. Kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Think that's the only poll needed. If Sephiroth can beat Kirby without being endangered, then Cloud will too. The anti-votes will make him look bad but I don't think he'll actually be in trouble. Wouldn't be the first time that Kirby pulled a wacky result out of his ass, though. Result: Cloud - 53% Kirby - 47% Cloud has a 75% chance of winning -- Losers Bracket Match 7 Sonic vs. Squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5228-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-sonic-vs-dracula-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3843-chaos-division-final-sonic-vs-kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3848-gear-division-final-solid-snake-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5247-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-2-squall-vs-amaterasu Squall really wishes that this match had taken place years ago. Even now, he still has a chance to win, but there was a time period back then where Squall was really strong and Sonic was at a low point. Since then, Sonic has been on the rebound while Squall...well, it's hard to say what's happened to Squall, as he didn't get anyone good to measure himself by in 2013 outside of maybe Amaterasu. But we do know what happened to FF8 in the Games Contest, and it definitely looked weaker. That's not to say Squall has necessarily dropped, but it's not the implication he wants in a match where he's already the underdog. Sonic games have continued to be real bad so he might have dropped as well but honestly I get the impression that the fanbase is immune to that by now. Sonic will always be propped up by Genesis nostalgia until the end of time. So yeah. Bank on Squall if you want a decent upset (or are a fanboy) but Sonic is definitely the favorite going into this. Result: Sonic the Hedgehog - 52% Squall Leonhart 48% Sonic has a 65% chance of winning -- Losers Bracket Match 8 Samus vs. Sephiroth https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5264-character-battle-ix-final-nine-samus-vs-red-vs-mega-man https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Samus beat Mega Man worse than Sephiroth beat Kirby. Done. Result: Samus - 57% Sephiroth - 43% Samus has an 80% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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