I think it was said earlier that the seeding was less relevant this contest due to the smaller number of nominations. I think spots 7-16 were randomized among babes with one nomination, while babes who got the higher seeds didn't need but a few nominations. Also she wasn't in 2011 but Toth made a pretty big splash in 2009; looking over her division for this year, I'd say she's actually the favorite.
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Parachute? Moar liek pair-a-somethin' else amirite
SuperNiceDogTanuki, Pom Poko