LogFAQs > #905503907

There are reasons why people think it's the boy girl paradox and it's actually 50 percent too. It hasn't been factually proven. People are using theory instead of trying to just figure it out factually. I went through it in my head and had the same paradoxes.

There is always that factor that you are picking from the same box that comes into play or doesn't. That doesn't seem to be factually proven.

But yeah 2/3's makes sense to me. There were 3 gold balls and 1 white. There are now 2 gold balls and one white. So 2/3.

But there are reasons people think that is the hopeful probability as well. You are still picking from the same box so it can be said it's either 50 or zero as well where if you average that out it's 25 percent.