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Topic	I thought Clinton's book was supposed to be a mea culpa?
Darkman124 09/13/17 10:22:58 AM #23:	voldothegr8 posted... This might be her only legit blaming though probably for the wrong reason according to her. The media made it seem like she was such a slam dunk that many democrats didn't bother to vote. Democrat turnout was abysmal besides Cali and NY which were going blue anyway. this is definitely a possibility, though imo a more likely metric is that trump support was under-predicted because people were not responding honestly on surveys the actual gap between surveys and turnout polling wasn't large, it didn't take a lot of that to swing things. 538 et al did present a path to victory for trump and simply noted it was very unlikely since clinton had a nontrivial lead in each state he needed. a 4% swing in each of those states resulted in the 0.1% victory margins that handed each over. --- And when the hourglass has run out, eternity asks you about only one thing: whether you have lived in despair or not. <cite>Darkman124 posted [p:886519452] in I thought ... [t:75767623]...</cite> <quote><cite>voldothegr8 posted...</cite> <quote> This might be her only legit blaming though probably for the wrong reason according to her. The media made it seem like she was such a slam dunk that many democrats didn't bother to vote. Democrat turnout was abysmal besides Cali and NY which were going blue anyway. </quote> this is definitely a possibility, though imo a more likely metric is that trump support was under-predicted because people were not responding honestly on surveys the actual gap between surveys and turnout polling wasn't large, it didn't take a lot of that to swing things. 538 et al did present a path to victory for trump and simply noted it was very unlikely since clinton had a nontrivial lead in each state he needed. a 4% swing in each of those states resulted in the 0.1% victory margins that handed each over. --- And when the hourglass has run out, eternity asks you about only one thing: whether you have lived in despair or not.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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