LogFAQs > #879317868

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Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1274
LordOfDabu 05/18/17 12:44:02 AM #16:	Well if you assume there's going to be 20000 total votes and that the people voting now are representative of the entire day, you need calculates about ~1550 votes to be 90% confident that the current results are within 2% of their final total. Since they are further than that apart you can call the match now with about 90% confidence. 95% confidence will come around ~2100 votes and 99% confidence will come around 3500. --- Watch me play games! http://www.twitch.tv/lordofdabu <cite>LordOfDabu posted [p:879317868] in Contest St... [t:75358420]...</cite> <quote>Well if you assume there's going to be 20000 total votes and that the people voting now are representative of the entire day, you need calculates about ~1550 votes to be 90% confident that the current results are within 2% of their final total. Since they are further than that apart you can call the match now with about 90% confidence. 95% confidence will come around ~2100 votes and 99% confidence will come around 3500. --- Watch me play games! http://www.twitch.tv/lordofdabu</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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