LogFAQs > #878288058

Leonhart’s Analysis

I have no idea how to approach this contest or how to analyze the individual matches, but I’ve got a responsibility as a member of the Crew to give it a shot, so here we go!

1979 won the first vote-in, but I have a feeling it only did because it was the most recent year in the poll. GameFAQs trends old, but not quite THAT old! Pong was probably the most well-known game shown in the poll, and its year finished a distant third. The only game from 1979 that’s ever been in a contest is Adventure, the recipient of the biggest blowout in Games Contest history when it faced the original Legend of Zelda in 2004. So yeah, I don’t have any real expectations of it to do well here.

2009 is a strange year. Its GOTY (Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2) is probably bad fodder by now, and it features a bunch of games that have done decently in previous Games Contests but have been outclassed when put up against the big boys. The strongest game from that year is probably a toss-up between Uncharted 2, Dragon Age: Origins, and Arkham Asylum. Fortunately, 1979 has no big boys in it, so 2009 doesn’t have much to worry about here. Next round will be a problem, but I imagine it wins easily here.

Leonhart’s Vote: 2009

Leonhart’s Prediction: 2009 with 75.55%


Kleenex’s Analysis

Hello crew readers! I'll be honest, I wasn't sure we'd actually see another contest after the one-two punch of CB9 and BGE3. There's no way to tell if this contest is going to get hit by another rally, but my inclination is that it's probably pretty safe, because who has strong feelings about years? Regardless, I actually think this is one of the most interesting contests we've had in a long time from a prediction standpoint, because everything is pretty much an unknown quantity. Sure, we know the general strength of all these games, but we don't know if each year is going to be carried by one game, or the combined strength of everything + consoles.

That being said, these wildcard matches are preeeeetty boring. We all know that new games aren't as strong as the late-90s bastion on this site, but if there's anything weaker than a game that came out in the past 10 years, it's a game that came out before most of the site was born. With 1979, we're looking at hard hitters like Asteroids and Adventure.

https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1606-division-8-round-1-the-legend-of-zelda-vs-adventure

That Adventure.

Make no mistake, 2009 is going to be very weak, even among the most recent years, but I'm pretty sure Uncharted 2 alone could topple the entirety of 1979.

2009 with 80%
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Moltar Status: contest woo
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/