Here goes.
Chrono Trigger has proven itself over and over to be a beast this contest, what with 60-40 victories over the likes of Super Mario Bros. 3 and A Link to the Past (...so what the heck was CT doing when it struggled to break 60% on WIND WAKER???), and as such it should continue to rise. However, Chrono Trigger's biggest test is coming up ahead in Super Mario 64: yes Mario 64 got steamrolled by Melee, but hush. Chrono Trigger was actually a bit of an underdog against both of the big two opponents it has defeated, but we all know that it's not an underdog against Mario 64. I don't think CT will actually lose, but the chance is better than it was against SMB3 or LttP.
Resident Evil 4 added Mario Kart 64 to its list of "RPI top 30 wins", making it 2-0 against the RPI top 30 just like Chrono Trigger is. While I'm not entirely certain that RE4 will defeat MGS3, it likely will, mostly because of MGS3's "bad" record.
If Resident Evil 4 lost a match, however, Super Mario 64 is waiting right there to catch it (right now, at least). Unlike CT and RE4, SM64 has faced a whopping six games in the RPI top 30, which is triple the amount that the two undefeated guys have faced! However, Mario 64 has actually lost one of those matches, and it lost that match pretty badly too. I suppose you can't make an omelette without breaking a few eggs, but surely you can make one without breaking one too badly, right? Mario 64, of course, has a big match with CT next week (wait, TOMORROW!!!), and that's more or less a clash of the titans, as I detailed. So far Mario 64 is the only Mario platformer not to suffer a second loss however, so given the trends it likely loses...although ending behind Mario 3 wouldn't make a whole lot of sense!
Super Mario Bros. 3...wait, a two-loss game in our top four, really? It's currently 3-2 against the RPI top 30, with two strong opponents coming up and one of...decently high strength I guess, but it'll have no chance to improve that record anytime soon. Looks like that victory over FFVI really improved its SoS or something though.
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow is currently 3-1 against the RPI top 30. Hilariously enough, according to the RPI (which stands for...what?), the strongest opponent RBY has faced so far is Galaxy 2. RBY has no notable matches coming up ahead, but its upcoming opponents aren't total trash either so it'll take slight increases while it can.
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