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TopicNew year, new selfie topic!
grimhilde00
01/21/21 11:19:43 PM
#373:


GunslingerGunsl posted...
Assuming that whatever studies were involved in this article are true, 30% to 40% is still pretty high.

40% is for people ages 50-59. The divorce rate has been going down.

It's interesting that in the article it sites premarital cohabitation as a factor to marital success because that has actually been shown to have a greater chance of leading to divorce (this coming from someone who currently lives with their girlfriend lol).

They talk about that in the article about how those studies don't do a good job of accounting for other factors. If you take age as a factor, people who cohabitate at a later age do not have higher rates of divorce.

> https://contemporaryfamilies.org/cohabitation-divorce-brief-report/

It turns out that cohabitation doesnt cause divorce and probably never did. What leads to divorce is when people move in with someone with or without a marriage license before they have the maturity and experience to choose compatible partners and to conduct themselves in ways that can sustain a long-term relationship. Early entry into marriage or cohabitation, especially prior to age 23, is the critical risk factor for divorce.

25% is also still pretty high. According to this and if I'm understanding it correctly, 40% of marriages that end in divorce would also occur after 10 years which would mean that the 25% measured here is likely to rise if this study were to conducted again with the same population now.

They're literally saying if the trend follows 25% is the projected rate.

> About 60 percent of all marriages that eventually end in divorce do so within the first 10 years, researchers say. If that continues to hold true, the divorce rate for college graduates who married between 1990 and 1994 would end up at only about 25 percent

This has a cool chart showing the slowing trend
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/02/upshot/the-divorce-surge-is-over-but-the-myth-lives-on.html

This article was posted in 2005 so it has been about 15 years.

Divorce rate continues to decline (I think this is complaining thinking it's a naughty word so...get rid of space, edit: yup that was it :facepalm:)
https://ifstudies.org/blog/the-us-divorce-rate-has -hit-a-50-year-low

The point of my original post was that people are just as capable of being happy without getting married, just like many people who get married can also be unhappy.

agreed

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