LogFAQs > #948011954

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Topicok how did the james randi pull this trick off
Medussa
12/07/20 4:49:41 AM
#5:


DeadBankerDream posted...
How is the chance of him guessing one of the cards in the envelope correct 1 in 5 if there are 5 cards in total and there are two cards in the envelope? Shouldn't it be 2 in 5 then?

he was definitely a little sloppy with his wordings, setting up the statistics. but the statistics weren't really relevant to the demonstration, beyond being "unlikely by random chance"

but yeah, guessing "front" or "back" correctly are 1 in 5, guessing "in envelope" correctly is 2 in 5, guessing "both in envelope" is 1 in 10, and guessing "front and back" is 1 in 20.

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Boom! That's right, this is all happening! You cannot change the channel now!
In recognition of your overwhelming victory, let's call it a draw.
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