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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 342: Biden: His Time
LordoftheMorons 11/10/20 10:19:18 AM #420:	masterplum posted... Polls adjust for response bias. There has to be a disconnect in self described independents who voted trump vs biden. Which doesn't really make sense. Neither of those parties are "liberals" They adjust for response bias for specific things (demographics, party). If its a variable theyre not asking about (like high/low social trust, as theorized here, or taking the pandemic more seriously and thus being more likely to be home and answer the phone) the bias will remain. I did also see Nate Cohn (who has worked on the NYTs polls) mentioning this theory as a possibility in an interview he did. --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! <cite>LordoftheMorons posted [p:946987357] in Politics C... [t:79094907]...</cite> <quote>masterplum posted... </cite> <quote>Polls adjust for response bias. There has to be a disconnect in self described independents who voted trump vs biden. Which doesn't really make sense. Neither of those parties are "liberals"</quote>They adjust for response bias for specific things (demographics, party). If its a variable theyre not asking about (like high/low social trust, as theorized here, or taking the pandemic more seriously and thus being more likely to be home and answer the phone) the bias will remain. I did also see Nate Cohn (who has worked on the NYTs polls) mentioning this theory as a possibility in an interview he did. --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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