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| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 336: Through the Wire |
| red sox 777 11/04/20 1:49:17 PM #446: | This site tracks early votes as they are received in Arizona. Its last update was as of Monday, so it does not include early votes dropped off on election day. This shows a 25k party registration lead for Republicans as of Monday. https://www.dataorbital.com/2020-general-election-early-vote-tracker This article shows that as of Friday, Democrats held a 26k party registration lead: https://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2020/10/31/arizonans-cast-record-number-early-ballots.html So it means that mostly on Monday, Republicans turned +51k in party registration. If that translates into straight votes, that reduces Biden's 93k vote lead to 42k. This does not include the early votes dropped off on election day, which I would guess would exceed the votes dropped off/received on Monday. Also, this is assuming independents break evenly - based on Florida yesterday I would expect late-voting independents to break for Trump. So I think we've got ourselves a game. And if Trump does come back, Fox News will lose credibility for calling it so early before they had even counted the election day votes! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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