LogFAQs > #942278887

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Topic	WHO Says Brazil's Covid-19 Curve Has Plateaued
Bio1590 07/18/20 5:16:13 PM #11:	BlockAddition posted... Yeah it sure looks flat to me That's not what they're talking about. They're talking about the daily new case curve, not total cases. Here is Brazil's: https://i.imgur.com/ZD0ucNG.png If you look at their 7-day moving average it has been fairly "flat" since the end of June, so for roughly 3 weeks now they've seen practically no daily growth in confirmed number of cases. This is what they mean by "plateaued" and why they're saying Brazil now has an opportunity to actually start reducing the daily number of confirmed cases. In your diagram, this would show as the slope of the line being flat and expressible in a y=mx+b format. Were the growth still exponential you'd need to use y=ab^x (or similar) to express it. You will still see growth, no matter what, in the total number of confirmed cases. By contrast, here is what the US' looks like https://i.imgur.com/OcIfX1L.png --- https://imgur.com/bbRWLI8 https://imgur.com/A0BErSV https:/i.imgur.com/S1m3po4.jpg https://imgur.com/7fCcfko <cite>Bio1590 posted [p:942278887] in WHO Says B... [t:78855504]...</cite> <quote>BlockAddition posted...</cite> <quote>Yeah it sure looks flat to me </quote> That's not what they're talking about. They're talking about the daily new case curve, not total cases. Here is Brazil's: https://i.imgur.com/ZD0ucNG.png If you look at their 7-day moving average it has been fairly "flat" since the end of June, so for roughly 3 weeks now they've seen practically no daily growth in confirmed number of cases. This is what they mean by "plateaued" and why they're saying Brazil now has an opportunity to actually start reducing the daily number of confirmed cases. In your diagram, this would show as the slope of the line being flat and expressible in a y=mx+b format. Were the growth still exponential you'd need to use y=ab^x (or similar) to express it. You will still see growth, no matter what, in the total number of confirmed cases. By contrast, here is what the US' looks like https://i.imgur.com/OcIfX1L.png --- https://imgur.com/bbRWLI8 https://imgur.com/A0BErSV https:/i.imgur.com/S1m3po4.jpg https://imgur.com/7fCcfko</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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