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TopicDo any mathemagicians on CE want to explain some probability bullshit to me?
Jabodie
06/02/20 1:53:45 PM
#9:


But yeah, with more trials, the pdf is going to concentrate more tightly around the true probability of success. It's like when you do Monte Carlos with more complex scenarios. If you take this out to infinitely many trials, the probably for less or more than 1/3 of them being successes goes to zero.

Edit: but yeah, if you've ever run Monte Carlos it's basically just saturating to the true probability.

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