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Topic~*Ultimaterializer's Post-Contest Analysis!*~
PostContestUlti
05/16/20 10:07:53 PM
#248:


Division 4 Round 1: (5)Persona 4 Golden vs (12)FTL: Faster Than Light

(5)Persona 4 Golden - 18785 [77.77%]
(12)FTL: Faster Than Light - 5371 [22.23%]
Total Votes - 24156
Prediction Percentage - 88.36%

Some indie games looked okay this contest. Most did not. FTL was one of the games that ended up looking like a garbage pile. FTL doesn't just look like a garbage pile in polls, either.

https://vjarmy.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/ftl.png

Okie dokie.

When I first did my bracket, I actually had Persona 4 Golden winning three matches before deciding to have some faith in GTA5. Losing to Chrono Cross and Golden Sun, while embarrassing, makes sense. But surely GTA5 wouldn't lose to a Vita game even with its built-in anti-votes, right?

Yeah once this poll started I regretted that decision in about 5 seconds. Not only did Persona 4 show none of the weakness one might expect from a Vita title -- this thing was clearly a proxy for the original Persona 4, which is why this and Pokemon HGSS should not have been allowed in this contest -- but Red Dead Redemption pulled off a similar blowout in round 1 of this fourpack. Barring Rockstar hierarchy and SFF (GTA pulling off SFF, ha!), the winner of Persona 4 v Red Dead was going to the divisional finals. That was set in stone after round one.

The discussion when this happened live centered around trying to order Baba Is You, FTL, and Ghost Trick. That was a flawed discussion, because it assumes transitive linearity with Grand Theft Auto when we know 100% that this is not the case. The issue is whether or not the third round match would be close at all, which more or less guarantees GTA can't win, and these round 1 results showed it would be close. That right there meant GTA5 was done.

Side note. Remember back in Bizarro World when Board 8 actually rallied for and rooted for Grand Theft Auto to beat Warcraft in the series contest? It's surreal to think about.

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