LogFAQs > #936730767

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, Database 6 ( 01.01.2020-07.18.2020 ), DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear

Topic List	Page List: 1
Topic	The quarantine isnt really benefitial to most Americans
LordoftheMorons 04/03/20 7:10:44 PM #39:	Ngamer64 posted... Uhhhh... 200,000 is the death toll we'll have while taking precautions. If we did what you suggested (aka nothing), over 3 million Americans would die. And it wouldn't be just the elderly. My back of the envelope math for "do nothing" is 6-10 million: R0 of ~2.5 gets you to ~60% infected before herd immunity brings the effective R below 1, and then a 3-5% fatality rate because the vast majority of people won't be getting treatment. And that's before adding in everyone who'd die of other stuff because they couldn't see a doctor. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! <cite>LordoftheMorons posted [p:936730767] in The quaran... [t:78537989]...</cite> <quote>Ngamer64 posted... </cite> <quote>Uhhhh... 200,000 is the death toll we'll have while taking precautions. If we did what you suggested (aka nothing), over 3 million Americans would die. And it wouldn't be just the elderly.</quote>My back of the envelope math for "do nothing" is 6-10 million: R0 of ~2.5 gets you to ~60% infected before herd immunity brings the effective R below 1, and then a 3-5% fatality rate because the vast majority of people won't be getting treatment. And that's before adding in everyone who'd die of other stuff because they couldn't see a doctor. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List	Page List: 1