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TopicWill the shitstorm if Trump loses 2020 be funnier than when he won in 2016?
The Great Muta 22
08/18/19 11:06:45 AM
#25:


DarkRoast posted...
Those were questions asked openly in 2016 shortly after the election. "How could we have gotten this so wrong?" And for the most part those questions really weren't answered - mostly buried under the pretence that 2016 was a glitch in the Matrix or something.


They absolutely were answered, people just didn't like the answer or consider it legitimate. Hillary being extremely unpopular and not turning out Democrats at the rates that Obama did, a massive increase in voters who went 3rd party or write in votes in the closest states, and people not understanding polling results to pundits extrapolating and mixing up state polls with the national poll(the whole "99 out of 100" bullshit from Huff Post which wasn't even a poll).

The best case scenario for the Democrats in 2016 was ALWAYS going to be a 307-231 electoral victory, and even that was highly unlikely as it required Florida staying blue which was a long shot looking at actual trends there and polling pre-election, which saw high end polling firms having Trump with a slight lead. Which means that the EC results would have been 278-260, making it an incredibly close election regardless. Every fucking polling firm worth a damn said as much before the election, people just got caught up in the narrative and seeing what they wanted to see.

Not to mention the Republican and Trump narrative of "BIGGEST UPSET EVER, THE DEMS GOT DESTROYED!!!!" bullshit narrative they tried to push ignoring the actual fucking results in the swing states being incredibly close.
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