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Topic	My predictions for the US 2020 presidential race.
darkknight109 06/04/19 5:03:43 AM #12:	Broken_Zeus posted... tbh, given the US's tendency towards incumbency, Trump will likely win the popular vote. Keep in mind that GWB lost the popular vote in 2000 yet won it in 2004. GWB also had an ongoing war that he could use to spook people with ("Are you crazy, don't change leadership in the middle of a war!") that was still popular at the time, plus his poll numbers actually went up after his election, as opposed to Trump's which have done nothing but gone down since then. Broken_Zeus posted... And honestly, the economy and employment numbers have been better under Trump. Which makes it all the more impressive that his poll numbers are underwater. Any politician over the last 50 years would kill to have Trump's position - no major conflicts, soaring economy - yet Trump can't seem to translate that to more than a 45% approval rating at best. He was and remains a historically weak candidate, perhaps even moreso now because all the establishment Republican voters who held their nose and voted for him because, "Well, he's terrible, but all the sensible Republicans in Congress will put a leash on him," can now see that those Congressional Republicans all misplaced their spines somewhere and won't do a damn thing to stand up to him. Trump has done nothing to win over anyone outside his base and even opposition groups that eyed him with cautious optimism (remember when he was supposed to be the first pro-LGBTQ Republican president?) have been left bitterly disappointed. Lacking any major policy victories, the economy is really the only thing Trump has going for him at this point. And if that tanks in the next year, get ready to watch his poll numbers fall off a cliff. --- Kill 1 man: You are a murderer. Kill 10 men: You are a monster. Kill 100 men: You are a hero. Kill 10,000 men, you are a conqueror! <cite>darkknight109 posted [p:922765768] in My predict... [t:77760411]...</cite> <quote><cite>Broken_Zeus posted...</cite> <quote>tbh, given the US's tendency towards incumbency, Trump will likely win the popular vote. Keep in mind that GWB lost the popular vote in 2000 yet won it in 2004. </quote> GWB also had an ongoing war that he could use to spook people with ("Are you crazy, don't change leadership in the middle of a war!") that was still popular at the time, plus his poll numbers actually went up after his election, as opposed to Trump's which have done nothing but gone down since then. <cite>Broken_Zeus posted...</cite> <quote>And honestly, the economy and employment numbers have been better under Trump. </quote> Which makes it all the more impressive that his poll numbers are underwater. Any politician over the last 50 years would kill to have Trump's position - no major conflicts, soaring economy - yet Trump can't seem to translate that to more than a 45% approval rating at best. He was and remains a historically weak candidate, perhaps even moreso now because all the establishment Republican voters who held their nose and voted for him because, "Well, he's terrible, but all the sensible Republicans in Congress will put a leash on him," can now see that those Congressional Republicans all misplaced their spines somewhere and won't do a damn thing to stand up to him. Trump has done nothing to win over anyone outside his base and even opposition groups that eyed him with cautious optimism (remember when he was supposed to be the first pro-LGBTQ Republican president?) have been left bitterly disappointed. Lacking any major policy victories, the economy is really the only thing Trump has going for him at this point. And if that tanks in the next year, get ready to watch his poll numbers fall off a cliff. --- Kill 1 man: You are a murderer. Kill 10 men: You are a monster. Kill 100 men: You are a hero. Kill 10,000 men, you are a conqueror!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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