LogFAQs > #914404843

EndOfDiscOne posted...

I'm surprised the Kavanaugh thing caused people to leave, because IMO the Democrats looked worse during that.

The fact is a lot of women, especially the middle class suburban white women who were consistent Republican voters, have been completely turned off and away from Trump and the Kavanaugh stuff was the thing that was the final justification they had to leave the party. People try to dismiss or deny the reports and poke holes in what the definitions mean, but the fact is a lot of women out there have gone through some sort of sexual assault situation or at the minimum, been in positions where they have felt sexually uncomfortable from behavior by men like Kavanaugh. You can think he was completely innocent but the rhetoric used by the Republican party and people like Graham and Trump to attack and dismiss Ford completely was a total miscalculation. Poll after poll showed that a majority of women believed her. And it honestly doesn't matter if she was telling the truth or not, the perception of what's true is what matters. And paired with Trump's general sleaziness it was always going to hurt them when they can't afford to lose that voting base.

I think it'll swing both ways, tbh, and you're also seeing that the gender divide on support for the parties is going to be the thing to watch going forward. But I don't think the numbers are there or the messaging and rhetoric is ready for it to benefit Republicans, yet anyways. They have made some slight gains in male minority voters, but they are at such a disadvantage that it'll take more time for them to build that group up enough that it seriously impacts the Democrats.
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