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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1309
red sox 777
11/22/18 3:39:40 PM
#145:


The probability of a 1/300 event hitting twice in 9 tries is around 1/3000. Very strong evidence against this being the true probability of such an event happening.

Further proof is that no one here acts surprised anymore when there is a big rally. But if people really believed it was a 1% chance, people would be a lot more surprised.
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