LogFAQs > #912852132

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Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1309
charmander6000 11/22/18 12:11:51 PM #132:	red sox 777 posted... charmander6000 posted... Again, I'm not claiming that a character has a 1/127 chance at winning (aka beating Link) via rallying, I'm saying the combined chances for all characters to beating Link in a contest via rallying is 1/127. Though to be fair that is only one sample, using multiple samples (10 contests) it's closer to 1/300. What? So you're saying a 1/127 chance has happened in 2 out of 9 contests? ~1/300, but yes. Looks like we've been (un)lucky. --- CBX - Today's Winners: Link and Mega Man Score: 196/256 <cite>charmander6000 posted [p:912852132] in Contest St... [t:77220885]...</cite> <quote><cite>red sox 777 posted...</cite> <quote><cite>charmander6000 posted...</cite> <quote>Again, I'm not claiming that a character has a 1/127 chance at winning (aka beating Link) via rallying, I'm saying the combined chances for all characters to beating Link in a contest via rallying is 1/127. Though to be fair that is only one sample, using multiple samples (10 contests) it's closer to 1/300.</quote> What? So you're saying a 1/127 chance has happened in 2 out of 9 contests?</quote> ~1/300, but yes. Looks like we've been (un)lucky. --- CBX - Today's Winners: Link and Mega Man Score: 196/256</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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