evolution is not a full track in itself but no, I do find it plausible. What I don't find plausible, is the idea that everything works on luck alone. Was the universe created solely by 'luck'? Is the laws of nature all just made by 'luck'? This 'luck' would be required out of an infinite infinite amount of possibilities.
How can that be? Unless someone picked out that very one possibility that lead to everything forming as it is today?
Consider how long the earth has existed. 4.5 billion years. Consider how big the universe is. How many chances do you think life has to try at life over this time and space? When looking at the probability of stuff of stuff like this, you need to consider the amount of opportunities you have at it.
Think about the mega millions. Yeah if you just buy one ticket, your odds are trash. However, every single person in the world gets a ticket. And if no one wins, every single person gets a ticket again. And this continues for 4.5 billion years. What are the odds that someone DOESN'T win after all this time? Practically zero. Now the odds of life creation is much worse than the lottery, but you just need to think about how crazy the number of opportunities is. A near infinite amount of space over billions and billions of years. A once in a billion shot doesn't mean much if you are taking billions of shots.
see, the funny thing is, going by this logic, it invalidates the argument for aliens. By that logic of probability, the probability of at least one intelligent and advanced alien species coming into noticeable existence would have been FAR greater already. It just doesn't make sense.