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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
Master Moltar
11/16/18 9:35:34 AM
#280:


Leonharts Analysis

Of all the characters who have hulked up this contest, none of them surprises me more than Alucard. Theres at least an explanation for Nintendo being stronger this contest, but Alucard? I dont get it. Is he getting some sort of nostalgia boost like Chrono Trigger did? Who knows! Either way, I think hes going to expose Red pretty badly here. He didnt get here on his strength. He got here because his opponents sucked more than he did. Alucards going to make it clear that 2010 Red was reality and 2013 Red was the illusion.

Leonharts Vote: Alucard

Leonharts Prediction: Alucard with 57.98%

Kleenexs Analysis

This has definitely been a breakout performance for Alucard. Hes always been in that midcarder status, but has had some hiccups over the years. This year, he finally put it all together (with a favorable bracket position, to be fair) and is not poised to make it to the legends bracket. Only some dumb Pokemon trainer stands in his way.

I think Alucard actually has this one in the bag. MGSs standing this year is still a bit in flux, but Red did not look good against Big Boss last round. Maybe Red, Big Boss and Sora are all roughly the same strength now, I dunno, but something about how that 8-pack went down doesnt pass the smell test for me. Not trying to question the legitimacy of the result, just that Id take what they say about the characters that participated with a grain of salt. Alucard has put away all of his opponents with relative ease, and I actually expect him to do the same to Red today.

Kleenexs Prediction: Alucard with 56%

Guests Analysis - War

There is one very simple reason why Red cannot win this match.

It is my buddy Cecil.

Unless this is Kefka's greatest trick, which is not impossible because it's Kefka, Cecil should not beat him.

I can buy into a lot of wacky upsets.

I can buy into the possibility that Peach would be competitive with Sora and Big Boss.

Cecil is not beating Kefka.

If Cecil beats Kefka, then Cecil probably beats Charizard. I am also not buying into this.

This is why Alucard has to win, and he has to win by a lot because every point closer to Kefka feels completely off.

So let's just roll with Peach very slightly above Red, and if Alucard and Aloy switched places we'd be looking at Peach vs. Cloud.

This division was really dumb. Damn you Cecil, and damn you laughing clown.

Alucard with 56.82%

Crew Consensus: Alucard finally wins a division.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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