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Topic	Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
Master Moltar 11/16/18 9:35:30 AM #279:	Round 4: Division Finals Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Alucard Moltars Analysis Red Round 1 - 75.32% vs. Neptune Round 2 - 50.90% vs. Sora Round 3 - 52.18% vs. Big Boss Alucard Round 1 - 56.81% vs. Princess Peach Round 2 - 59.62% vs. Yuna Round 3 - 59.44% vs. Kefka If this match is about momentum, then youve got to give it to Alucard. Nintendo? Square? He dont care. Hes put up three good performances so far against pretty respectable competition. A lot of people have jumped on the bandwagon and think hes going to win the division now. Red could be legit? I mean youd have to assume that Sora is still really strong, Big Boss is also still really strong, ignore all the other bad KH and MGS performances, think that Crash is like an upper-midcarder, and probably some other things that Im forgetting about. Ill take the former there. As foretold by The Plan. Moltars Bracket: Sora (believe) Moltars Prediction: Alucard 53% transiences Analysis Pre-contest, the top half of the bracket looked clearly stronger than the bottom. The main debate was Sora/Big Boss, which in my mind was a repeat of Snake/Sora from 2005 which was one of the great beatdowns of all time thanks to probably the biggest pic advantage in contest history. It would come down to what picture Big Boss would get, but by round 3 we're usually making pictures so it would likely be something to play for. (contrary to most, I actually really like that we stuck with the same pictures for 3 rounds, the same ones we made brackets around. I grow exhausted of people complaining about pictures every day for a month.) Well, Sora sucked, which was somewhat predictable, and Big Boss sucked, which was also reasonably predictable. In that case, Red has a shot at things. Pokemon went wild the last contest and I think like 4 Pokemon were in the final 9? If that were to happen again, I could see Red upending everyone. However, that didn't happen this time -- Pikachu looks strong, but Charizard bombed against Terra and Mewtwo went down easy to Tifa. I don't trust human Pokemon characters and when you get an extrapolated 55% on Crash, I have a hard time believing. Even with seemingly everyone sucking from the top half of the division, I would probably still pick them over the bottom half, where you have a lot of perennial underachievers. Kefka can go down to anyone. It's hard to believe in L-Block in 2018. Alucard has a ton of contest bombs to his name. Nobody really likes Peach. Yuna's kind of aggressively average. But here comes Alucard, impressing every round. I believed in him over Peach, but it was more about Peach than Alucard. He did well, but he didn't shock me. But then he demolished Yuna and put Kefka down in much the same way. Turns out, Peach was actually his toughest comp so far, and Alucard beat her harder than Red would beat Crash. Alucard looks very clearly stronger than Big Boss so far and while it's always a little tough to gauge Red, I don't think he's significantly above someone like Peach. Even his little bro contest wise, Simon, looked pretty good. I think Alucard takes this one, and he might take it easily. It's a shocking result from a shocking division where everyone just kind of sucks. Everyone but Alucard. transience's prediction: Alucard with 53.55% --- Moltar Status: contest hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ <cite>Master Moltar posted [p:912502552] in Character ... [t:77197210]...</cite> <quote>Round 4: Division Finals Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Alucard Moltars Analysis Red Round 1 - 75.32% vs. Neptune Round 2 - 50.90% vs. Sora Round 3 - 52.18% vs. Big Boss Alucard Round 1 - 56.81% vs. Princess Peach Round 2 - 59.62% vs. Yuna Round 3 - 59.44% vs. Kefka If this match is about momentum, then youve got to give it to Alucard. Nintendo? Square? He dont care. Hes put up three good performances so far against pretty respectable competition. A lot of people have jumped on the bandwagon and think hes going to win the division now. Red could be legit? I mean youd have to assume that Sora is still really strong, Big Boss is also still really strong, ignore all the other bad KH and MGS performances, think that Crash is like an upper-midcarder, and probably some other things that Im forgetting about. Ill take the former there. As foretold by The Plan. Moltars Bracket: Sora (believe) Moltars Prediction: Alucard 53% transiences Analysis Pre-contest, the top half of the bracket looked clearly stronger than the bottom. The main debate was Sora/Big Boss, which in my mind was a repeat of Snake/Sora from 2005 which was one of the great beatdowns of all time thanks to probably the biggest pic advantage in contest history. It would come down to what picture Big Boss would get, but by round 3 we're usually making pictures so it would likely be something to play for. (contrary to most, I actually really like that we stuck with the same pictures for 3 rounds, the same ones we made brackets around. I grow exhausted of people complaining about pictures every day for a month.) Well, Sora sucked, which was somewhat predictable, and Big Boss sucked, which was also reasonably predictable. In that case, Red has a shot at things. Pokemon went wild the last contest and I think like 4 Pokemon were in the final 9? If that were to happen again, I could see Red upending everyone. However, that didn't happen this time -- Pikachu looks strong, but Charizard bombed against Terra and Mewtwo went down easy to Tifa. I don't trust human Pokemon characters and when you get an extrapolated 55% on Crash, I have a hard time believing. Even with seemingly everyone sucking from the top half of the division, I would probably still pick them over the bottom half, where you have a lot of perennial underachievers. Kefka can go down to anyone. It's hard to believe in L-Block in 2018. Alucard has a ton of contest bombs to his name. Nobody really likes Peach. Yuna's kind of aggressively average. But here comes Alucard, impressing every round. I believed in him over Peach, but it was more about Peach than Alucard. He did well, but he didn't shock me. But then he demolished Yuna and put Kefka down in much the same way. Turns out, Peach was actually his toughest comp so far, and Alucard beat her harder than Red would beat Crash. Alucard looks very clearly stronger than Big Boss so far and while it's always a little tough to gauge Red, I don't think he's significantly above someone like Peach. Even his little bro contest wise, Simon, looked pretty good. I think Alucard takes this one, and he might take it easily. It's a shocking result from a shocking division where everyone just kind of sucks. Everyone but Alucard. transience's prediction: Alucard with 53.55% --- Moltar Status: contest hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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