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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Master Moltar
11/11/18 6:08:20 PM
#359:


Kleenexs Analysis

Poor Yoshi. Dude always seems to get a rough draw. You put in a few of the other divisions in this contest and hes probably a favorite to win, but he runs into a PokeBuzzSaw here. I dont know if this ends up as the SFF beatdown we can sometimes see in Nintendo vs. Nintendo matches, but Pikachu has looked good enough that I dont envision Yoshi really challenging in this match.

Kleenexs Prediction: Pikachu with 55%

Guests Analysis - Luster Soldier

With both Charizard and Mewtwo failing to win their debated round 2 matches, Pikachu now has a small chance of being upset by Yoshi here. This is very unlikely to happen since Pikachu has shown that it is in a separate tier above Charizard and Mewtwo based on the matches against Scorpion and Kratos. Both performances suggest that Pikachu has Near Elite strength, which would put it out of Yoshi's range. In addition, I would put Yoshi's strength as slightly below that of Bowser, making Yoshi's chance of winning this match even harder.

At some point before the contest started, I remember a post from Ulti where he said something along the lines of "Pokemon doesn't seem to get the same kind of love on this site that the rest of Nintendo gets". This was in some topic debating Sora/Red. Ulti seems to have a point here, because Pokemon does seem to be perceived differently from the rest of Nintendo despite being a Nintendo owned IP. I think it has a lot to do with a lot of people quitting Pokemon after Gen 1 or Gen 2 and not returning to the series again. In Charizard/Bowser, Bowser actually did around 1.5% better with registered users. For how well Pokemon does with registered users, Charizard's support with registered users folded when going up against an true Nintendo character. Yoshi/Pikachu is a similar type of match-up. Pikachu's much higher strength compared to Charizard means that it has a better chance of retaining a lot of support with registered users, and Pikachu might also command more respect among people who have quit Pokemon than someone like Charizard or Mewtwo.

Luster Soldier's Bracket: Pikachu

Luster Soldier's Prediction: Pikachu - 54.56%

Crew Consensus: Pikachu shocks us yet again.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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