LogFAQs > #911985874

Sequiro posted...

Well that was my point. They didn't get the senate because they screwed themselves over.

No, they didn't get the senate because they were never going to get the senate and we knew that as far back as 2016. The map was legendarily unfriendly to them - maybe as bad a map as any party has ever faced. They had to defend three times as many seats as the Republicans (26 seats held by Democrats were up for election vs. just nine for the Repubs) and a lot of those seats they were defending were in states won by Trump, sometimes by huge margins.

To win the senate, the Dems would have had to hold onto every single seat they already had, and take Arizona and Nevada. Or, if you acknowledge that North Dakota was always a lost cause, you'd need to add in a win in at least one seat in Texas, Mississippi, Wyoming, or Tennessee. Even at the absolute nadir of their popularity leading up to the midterms, nether of those situations was feasible. The reputable pollsters never wavered in saying that the senate was likely to stay Republican. About the best you could say is that, for a while, it looked like the Democrats had some momentum and had a good chance to keep things close, but they were not polling strong enough in key races they absolutely had to win if they wanted to take the senate.

The upswing is that the senate map in the next two elections looks much friendlier to Democrats (they are defending half as many seats as the Republicans in each), so their odds of retaking the senate will look much better in 2020 and particularly 2022.
---

Kill 1 man: You are a murderer. Kill 10 men: You are a monster.
Kill 100 men: You are a hero. Kill 10,000 men, you are a conqueror!