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Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1291
charmander6000 10/28/18 4:19:14 PM #277:	Match XLIII: (5) Sans vs. (12) Pac-Man Previous Contest Performance Sans - N/A N/A Pac-Man - 2013 Round 1: 38.80% against Nathan Drake (41.80%) and Steve (19.40%) Analysis I dont think Sans has a great chance at winning here. Theres no doubt that Undertale got a boost from winning the games contest in 2015 from all the exposure, but the game was quite weak beforehand. By the time we reached the Game of the Year poll Undertale was soundly beaten. There is a bit of a push to get Sans into Super Smash Bros. Ultimate, but I feel that push is similar to that of Shantae than to Waluigi. While Sans has quite a recognizable design that doesnt help you when your opponent is Pac-Man. He may not be the strongest character in the bracket, but he almost has become the standard you have to beat in order to not be considered fodder. Personally, I think the fodder line should be slightly below him, but the point stands that Pac-Man has some strength. A rally for Sans isnt completely out of the question, like in 2015 all it takes is a popular person to bring notice to this contest for him to win. charmander6000s Bracket: Pac-Man > Sans charmander6000s Prediction: Pac-Man wins, 63.11% - 36.89% Match XLIV: (4) Bayonetta vs. (13) Riku Previous Contest Performance Bayonetta - 2013 Round 1: 49.50% against N (28.78%) and Wander (21.73%) Round 2: 16.64% against Solid Snake (60.57%) and Alucard (22.79%) Riku - 2013 Round 1: 30.17% against Charizard (59.16%) and Nier (10.66%) Analysis This match and potentially this half of the division comes down to how much of a boost did Bayonetta receive. In 2013 Bayonetta was relatively niche and she did okay, given what she was. Since then her game received a sequel, though it did poorly during the games contest and more importantly she was a playable character in Super Smash Bros. 4. Some people may argue that Smash fans hate her because shes dominant, but honestly the competitive scene is a small portion of the games overall strength and I feel the exposure outweighs turning neutral people against her. Riku and Kingdom Hearts in general did not have a good contest in 2013 where he was soundly beaten by Charizard. Sora didnt give me a lot of faith towards a Kingdom Hearts 3 boost, but to be fair he was up against a character that was likely to be stronger. If Bayonetta gets a sizable boost in strength, I feel Riku will need at least something in order to be competitive. charmander6000s Bracket: Bayonetta > Riku charmander6000s Prediction: Bayonetta wins, 55.73% - 44.27% --- CBX - Today's Winners: Aloy, Fox, Captain Toad, Aerith Score: 29/36 <cite>charmander6000 posted [p:911333413] in Contest St... [t:77136524]...</cite> <quote>Match XLIII: (5) Sans vs. (12) Pac-Man Previous Contest Performance Sans - N/A N/A Pac-Man - 2013 Round 1: 38.80% against Nathan Drake (41.80%) and Steve (19.40%) Analysis I dont think Sans has a great chance at winning here. Theres no doubt that Undertale got a boost from winning the games contest in 2015 from all the exposure, but the game was quite weak beforehand. By the time we reached the Game of the Year poll Undertale was soundly beaten. There is a bit of a push to get Sans into Super Smash Bros. Ultimate, but I feel that push is similar to that of Shantae than to Waluigi. While Sans has quite a recognizable design that doesnt help you when your opponent is Pac-Man. He may not be the strongest character in the bracket, but he almost has become the standard you have to beat in order to not be considered fodder. Personally, I think the fodder line should be slightly below him, but the point stands that Pac-Man has some strength. A rally for Sans isnt completely out of the question, like in 2015 all it takes is a popular person to bring notice to this contest for him to win. charmander6000s Bracket: Pac-Man > Sans charmander6000s Prediction: Pac-Man wins, 63.11% - 36.89% Match XLIV: (4) Bayonetta vs. (13) Riku Previous Contest Performance Bayonetta - 2013 Round 1: 49.50% against N (28.78%) and Wander (21.73%) Round 2: 16.64% against Solid Snake (60.57%) and Alucard (22.79%) Riku - 2013 Round 1: 30.17% against Charizard (59.16%) and Nier (10.66%) Analysis This match and potentially this half of the division comes down to how much of a boost did Bayonetta receive. In 2013 Bayonetta was relatively niche and she did okay, given what she was. Since then her game received a sequel, though it did poorly during the games contest and more importantly she was a playable character in Super Smash Bros. 4. Some people may argue that Smash fans hate her because shes dominant, but honestly the competitive scene is a small portion of the games overall strength and I feel the exposure outweighs turning neutral people against her. Riku and Kingdom Hearts in general did not have a good contest in 2013 where he was soundly beaten by Charizard. Sora didnt give me a lot of faith towards a Kingdom Hearts 3 boost, but to be fair he was up against a character that was likely to be stronger. If Bayonetta gets a sizable boost in strength, I feel Riku will need at least something in order to be competitive. charmander6000s Bracket: Bayonetta > Riku charmander6000s Prediction: Bayonetta wins, 55.73% - 44.27% --- CBX - Today's Winners: Aloy, Fox, Captain Toad, Aerith Score: 29/36</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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