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| Topic | New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points! |
| Tyranthraxus 02/21/18 2:39:27 PM #38: | Anteaterking posted... Someone's current batting average is still modeling the latent true batting percentage that they have projected over a range of different batting situations. How do you see something like a prediction of who is winning an election any more innate and not an estimate of a candidate's "true chances" than someone's batting average? A batting average is just historical data. Actual chance to hit depends on the skill and current fatigue level of the pitcher. The left/right handedness of the players is also a huge factor.. it's nothing at all like rolling a die or bowling average. --- ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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