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Topic	New poll shows Democrats leading the race for congress by 15 points!
KingCrabCake 02/21/18 2:12:31 PM #23:	Antifar posted... voldothegr8 posted... LOL why are liberals trying to compare poll results with baseball stats? The projections made by 538 and outlets like NYT and Huffpo are not poll results; they're based on formulas that take aggregated poll results into account. A poll =/= a polling average =/= a projection Probability is probability. FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 28.6% chance of winning, which is equivalent to a .286 hitter's chance of getting a hit in any given at bat. It's about 2 in 7 But thats horrible in basketball. Such a bad analogy --- [Your sig sucks] Waaaaah <cite>KingCrabCake posted [p:896504421] in New poll s... [t:76342913]...</cite> <quote><cite>Antifar posted...</cite> <quote><cite>voldothegr8 posted...</cite> <quote>LOL why are liberals trying to compare poll results with baseball stats?</quote> The projections made by 538 and outlets like NYT and Huffpo are not poll results; they're based on formulas that take aggregated poll results into account. A poll =/= a polling average =/= a projection Probability is probability. FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 28.6% chance of winning, which is equivalent to a .286 hitter's chance of getting a hit in any given at bat. It's about 2 in 7</quote> But thats horrible in basketball. Such a bad analogy --- [Your sig sucks] Waaaaah</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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