LogFAQs > #892635571

let me see if I can work through this for scenario 1 at least

0 DEF: 25/64 (5/8 x 5/8)
1 DEF: 30/64 (3/8 x 5/8) + (5/8 x 3/8)
2 DEF: 9/64 (3/8 x 3/8)

0 ATT: 1/8 (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2)
1 ATT: 3/8 (Hit Miss Miss, Miss Hit Miss, and Miss Miss Hit, all at 1/8 each)
2 ATT: 3/8 (HHM, HMH, MHH, 1/8 each)
3 ATT: 1/8 (1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2)

25/64 x 7/8 = 175/512 is the % of getting and beating 0 def
30/64 x 4/8 = 120/512 for 1 def
9/64 x 1/8 = 9/512 for 2 def

Add that up and it's 304/512 if I'm not confused, or 59.375% of at least 1 hit
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