LogFAQs > #889805519

Yeah I guess so. I didn't look ahead at MSU's schedule, just knew what our own schedule was.

Although I think the exact same criteria applies to us. If we beat MSU and then only won 1 of the remaining 2 games (Illinois and Michigan), I think we'd still win the tiebreaker. If that were to happen, the more likely scenario would be OSU beating Illinois then slipping up against Michigan so let's see how that looks.

Ohio State - 2 conference losses, wins over Penn State and Michigan State
Michigan State - 2 conference losses, wins over Michigan and Penn State
Penn State - 2 conference losses, win over Michigan
Michigan - 2 conference losses, win over Ohio State

I think Ohio State wins that tiebreaker because I think OSU and MSU having 2 wins in that group of 4 eliminates the other 2. And then Ohio State wins tiebreaker directly over Michigan State due to H2H.

So yeah, OSU/MSU next week is basically the de facto play in game for the Big Ten championship. Penn State and Michigan need the winner of that game to lose their remaining 2 games after that to have a chance I think