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Topic	Who will win in 2020?
darkknight109 11/03/17 12:39:14 PM #32:	SmokeMassTree posted... argonautweakend posted... Donald trump won the 2016 election by a razor thin margin. Currently his popularity is not very high, his base is erroding...not sure where he's going to get the votes from to win again. of course it depends on who the dems nominate, but i dont see a trump victory as being very likely. Yeah but those polls are super biased since only not smart people take them. Memba the 98.9% chance he had at not winning? That's because only haters voiced their opinion. It has nothing to do with polls and everything to do with the election results. Trump won because of <100,000 votes spread across three states. It didn't get much press in the aftermath, but this was probably the closest presidential election in living memory (perhaps ever) other than Bush/Gore in 2000. He has almost no room for error and has done nothing to expand his popularity since being in office. His poll numbers, which were never all that good, have dropped by ~10 percentage points since being elected. America loves its incumbents, so I rule nothing out, but if anyone can buck that trend it's Trump. --- Kill 1 man: You are a murderer. Kill 10 men: You are a monster. Kill 100 men: You are a hero. Kill 10,000 men, you are a conqueror! <cite>darkknight109 posted [p:889686145] in Who will w... [t:75949318]...</cite> <quote><cite>SmokeMassTree posted...</cite> <quote><cite>argonautweakend posted...</cite> <quote>Donald trump won the 2016 election by a razor thin margin. Currently his popularity is not very high, his base is erroding...not sure where he's going to get the votes from to win again. of course it depends on who the dems nominate, but i dont see a trump victory as being very likely.</quote> Yeah but those polls are super biased since only not smart people take them. Memba the 98.9% chance he had at not winning? That's because only haters voiced their opinion.</quote> It has nothing to do with polls and everything to do with the election results. Trump won because of <100,000 votes spread across three states. It didn't get much press in the aftermath, but this was probably the closest presidential election in living memory (perhaps ever) other than Bush/Gore in 2000. He has almost no room for error and has done nothing to expand his popularity since being in office. His poll numbers, which were never all that good, have dropped by ~10 percentage points since being elected. America loves its incumbents, so I rule nothing out, but if anyone can buck that trend it's Trump. --- Kill 1 man: You are a murderer. Kill 10 men: You are a monster. Kill 100 men: You are a hero. Kill 10,000 men, you are a conqueror!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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