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TopicCondoms only working 97% of the time seems like a low ball
EightySeven
09/25/17 2:36:13 AM
#42:


Dash_Harber posted...
But that is the fallacy right there. Every single roll has a 1 in 6 chance, no matter how many times you have rolled previously.


That's true for any individual roll, not in aggregate. For example say you roll a die 98 times, on the 98th roll you have an exactly 1 in 6 chance, but he's talking about the probability of rolling a 6 given 98 rolls where each roll has a 1 in 6 chance.
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