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TopicWould you rather have a guaranteed $2, or a 1/50,000 chance at $30k?
bsp77
12/25/22 10:14:12 PM
#21:


uwnim posted...
$2 has the higher expected value. But if this was a one shot and you were offering to hand me $2 in cash or the 2nd option, I'd probably take the 2nd just because I wouldn't care about the guaranteed money. I'd probably end up with nothing, but I'd be no worse off than I would have been if I hadn't encountered this situation.
I honestly don't understand why anyone would take the $2. Like it is essentially worthless. Whether I have a $0 gain or a $2 gain is the exact same thing in the long term.

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