LogFAQs > #969416572

CA 13, AZ 1, and AZ 3 are all potential D keeps (Cali) and holds (AZ), especially with mail-in ballot demographics. CO 3 (Boebert's district) is also nail-bitingly close. R+8(-2) seems pretty plausible to me.

I want to say the Dems could have focused more on the US's standing to comparable countries inflation-wise (easy Covid money policies + war in Ukraine mean it's bad /everywhere/) but nuance isn't particularly good for elections. The monetary policies under President Trump don't exactly inspire confidence the Republicans would handle inflation any better, though, and it's bemusing hearing what's essentially the same effects here in Canada being called Bidenflation (very catchy, though). Curious how much the possible recession early next year gets tied to Dems in the mind of voters as a result.

This year was a lucky Senate map for Democrats. The 2024 Senate map is /really/ good for Republicans. It would take a lot to change that, Georgia results included.