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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 120: A Nationally Lampooned Vacation
Metal_DK
08/10/17 11:16:56 AM
#361:


Corrik posted...
Metal_DK posted...
Corrik posted...
Was not a 1325 sample size. As already stated, they threw out over half the survey for being invalid.

They did not poll registered republicans by their own admission by saying they used those who "identified with or leaned republican". Which is a big difference.

And they do not state in any way the metrics of the poll satisfactorily. You polled based on ratios of sex, age etc... based on your initial 1325. Which you threw out more than half of.


The poll is beyond flawed and if you have a masters in stats and can't conclude that then I am baffled.


I didn't read the entire poll so I don't know about any sampling biases like age or something. But if you think 1325 is not large enough of a sample (which i believe you said), then you are being ignorant. Which was what you are originally saying. You are kinda backtracking here because you went from "too small" to "well its this thing".

I was talking specifically about sample size. Yes, 1325 (and even only half or whatever crap you are claiming) is large enough.

The poll literally states they used responses from 650 respondents while claiming a 1325 sample size and corresponding ages to america from aforementioned 1325 which is invalid to the 650.

I never once mentioned 1325. I said the sample size was too small. And, I was referring to 650. The poll has a ton of problems with it.

You can't claim whatever percent of Republicans would do this in this scenario due to this poll when you didn't even confirm registered Republicans nor when your sample size possibly does not even correspond to the metrics when you made the whole size correspond and threw out over half of it.


Judging from the people ITT, i was assuming that (i havent read it just was talking about needed sample sizes - something tons of people get wrong - and not the actual poll) but:

The poll was 1325 republicans, about half said theyd be fine with postponing the 2020 election. I was assuming they didnt "throw out" anything, they just looked at the fucking people who said theyd be fine with Trump/government as a whole postponing the 2020 election.

You then came in saying it was too small (whether the ~1300 or ~650 or whatever), which is false for getting a fairly accurate representation of a population the size of the republican party.

Now if it turns out they only polled say...Texas border Republicans, perhaps its biased. That was not the original argument. I am talking about sample sizes. Which this poll did fine.
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