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TopicPolitical futures market now has Trump impeachment odds at 18% for 2017
Doom_Art
05/31/17 5:33:17 PM
#36:


Iodine posted...
I would put it lower than that. The only way the GOP led congress impeaches Trump is if he has a Sandusky-like scandal.

That's the rule for the GOP

Only way they get taken down is if they're caught with a live boy or a dead girl.

The Admiral posted...
Or if they think Trump is hurting their chances in 2018 and 2020 too severely. If Trump goes, the ticket is likely Pence/Ryan, with Ryan potentially being the presidential nominee in 2020. If that's a significantly stronger ticket, the Republicans might be on board with impeachment.

If he keeps this shit up then it's not going to matter if he's impeached or not. He will be facing a primary challenge in 2020

My logic there is no matter how unorthodox he may be, the GOP sticks with him in the hope that he can mobilize his base for them and will rubber stamp what they like

There's been none of that so far and there's no indication that this will change.

So their options in 2020 are either they stick with Trump, Washington stays dead, their agenda is stalled another 4 years, the left is further enraged/mobilized against them. Or a genuine Republican can at least toss out a hail mary to try to get a legitimate working GOP administration.
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