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TopicBest Year in Gaming Contest Analysis Crew
Master Moltar
05/10/17 11:09:22 PM
#261:


Kleenex’s Analysis

2015's a weird one. There's some big games - Witcher 3, Bloodborne, Undertale, MGSV - but Undertale notwithstanding, none of them are really GameFAQs strong. Even Witcher 3 - 2015's game of the year on this site - couldn't beat MGS2 and MGS in general didn't look great last time around. 2005 is...whatever. I still think 2005 isn't really much to write home about.

So here's the thing. Undertale is in the match today. Do people try to recapture the 'magic' from last time? Do people anti-vote 2015 out of spite? Does anyone actually care anymore? 2011 showed that with a match pic advantage, you can take out years that you probably shouldn't beat. Problem is, I don't think 2015 has that advantage. Rocket League seems like a miss here and I think I'd much rather see either Bloodborne or MGS5 on here, and I'd rather Undertale have one of the top 2 slots.

I have 2015 making it a few rounds in my bracket but I'm starting to talk myself out of that pick. In my mind 2015 is certainly a much better year for games, but I'm struggling to see GameFAQs having the same opinion.

Kleenex's Prediction: 2005 with 60%



Guest’s Analysis - Luster Soldier

Out all the entrants in this contest, 2015 was the only year that could have gotten a rally in Round 1. 2016 was another possible year, but it would have been lucky to get above 30% in its match and had a serious uphill battle to dig its way out of that hole with a rally. 2015 is located in a much more advantageous position, potentially capable of breaking 40% on 2005 through natural strength alone.

2015 has some games of decent strength, with both The Witcher 3 and Fallout 4, along with Undertale as well. More than a year has passed by since the 2015 GotY polls, which helps The Witcher 3 and Fallout 4 improve their playrates even more. Both games are probably stronger today than they were in the 2015 GotY polls. 2005 has the stronger anchor in Resident Evil 4 and solid backup from SotC and Phoenix Wright. God of War should be much weaker today compared to the GotD contest and thus a non-factor in 2005's strength. 2015 might have a better chance of winning this match if the match picture had Bloodborne instead of Rocket League, a game that should probably win head to head against God of War.

The rally potential of this match is the only thing that even gives 2015 a chance of winning this match. Considering that we're averaging about 16000 votes per match in this contest, a 60/40 match would be equal to a 3200 vote lead for 2005. This lead is less than half the size that Mass Effect 3 had on Undertale before the rally kicked into full gear. 2005 will have much less of a lead to work with before any rally can take place. It all comes down to how much the Undertale fanbase cares about rallying for 2015. The game doesn't have as much of a presence on Tumblr these days, so it will be harder to start a rally on Tumblr.

Luster Soldier's Bracket: 2005

Luster Soldier's Prediction: 2005 – 59.48%



Crew Consensus: 2005 is the favorite
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Moltar Status: contest woo
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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