LogFAQs > #984440331

Historic precedent suggests it would be extremely unusual for this kind of dissatisfaction to persist without any major changes in the party, especially because these voters dont have anywhere else to go. Third parties continue to see their vote shares decline, and polarization between the two major parties continues to rise, meaning that the odds of these dissatisfied Democrats voting for non-Democratic candidates are extremely low.

That ratchets up pressure in the 2026 primary election season. Political science literature suggests that partisans angry enough to have an opinion on their party leadership are also the likeliest to show up and vote for Democrats anyway so it is not clear that the party will incur a turnout penalty as a result.
Instead, these numbers open the door to a potentially bruising string of primaries in both the House and Senate. There are 13 Democratic-held Senate seats up for reelection next year many of them involving veteran senators in the bluest states raising the prospect of a stream of younger, insurgent candidates more closely aligned with the party base, similar to what the GOP has contended with over the past 15 years.

In other words, there is a chance that an army of AOC's showing up in 2026 Primary.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/03/21/polling-data-democrats-primaries-grassroots-tea-party-00241769
https://xcancel.com/lxeagle17/status/1903280665086529654#m