LogFAQs > #982781626

UshiromiyaEva posted...

If you want more proof that Nate Silver's model has completely fallen apart (which franky has been an open secret since the DNC), take a look at his final numbers.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/d/db7a36e2.jpg

See if you can spot the problem lol.

Also wow they are just in FREEFALL narratively.

https://twitter.com/samstein/status/1853105007505088618?t=TChyJH3rFcCwdpnrQaVcEQ&s=19

The NYT polls this morning were just more herding tie whimpers that nobody pays attention to anymore, are they claiming every poll that doesn't show them outright winning is now fake?? More evidence that the Rasmussen Atlas power hour was literally a campaign event that they planned to be an ending statement.

I guess THEORETICALLY the cross-tabs showing undecided breaking for Harris across the board could be what they're complaining about??

What's the problem? Expected value of electoral votes weighs each potential outcome by both the probability and number of EVs. So this means he thinks Harris is more likely to have a blowout win, while Trump is more likely to win a close one (in the EC).

I don't agree with that and think it's the other way around if anything. But we'll see.